主题：Economic Analysis of Unexpected Events

主讲：Geoffrey J. D. Hewings，美国伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校教授

时间：11月29日，周三下午，3:00pm-4:30pm

地点：文泉楼南601

摘要: The presentation addresses ways in which existing sub-national economic models can be made more flexible to address short- and longer-run information needs in the aftermath of unexpected events such as earthquakes, hurricanes, tornados or severe flooding.  In the short-run, there is an urgent need to provide an assessment of the damages – both to productive systems and infrastructure – to public agencies charged with responsibility for coordinating federal, state and local responses.  In the longer-run, there is a need to provide guidelines on possible alternative re-development paths based on generally accepted criteria about the optimal deployment of critical resources.  In addition to concerns about “disaggregating” the time paths, there is an equally important spatial consideration: how can appropriate levels of information be provided at critical spatial scales (state, community, neighborhoods) in a timely manner so that there is a consistent space-time recovery strategy?  The presentation draws on research conducted in REAL over the past 20 years on the assessment of floods, earthquakes and hurricanes.

附专家简介： Geoffrey J. D. Hewings，区域经济学应用实验室（REAL）的教授和主任，美国伊利诺伊大学厄巴纳-香槟分校教授，美国华盛顿大学博士。主要研究领域为：地理与区域经济学、都市与区域规划等。在国际专业期刊上发表了百余篇具有广泛影响的论文，著书14部，参与70多部著作的编著。2003年，被授予“怀特艾萨德突出学者成就奖”，同时国际区域科学协会以其名字命名设立“Geoffrey J. D. Hewings奖”，以奖励有突出贡献的年轻学者。